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Cognitive biases and rational decision making for volcanichazards and risks

Table 1 Cognitive biases described in this contribution. Papale P. (2026).Frontiers in Earth Science, 14 pp. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2026.1755833 Open access Abstract Volcanic systems are governed by complex, non-linear dynamics that make deterministic forecasting impossible and require decisions to be made under substantial uncertainty. This contribution examines how…

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Twenty‐Five Years of Probabilistic Fault DisplacementHazard Assessment

Figure 3. Block diagram illustrating principal and distributed ruptures in a normal faulting tectonic setting. The diagram highlights the spatial distribution of surface ruptures, with the principal rupture (PF) occurring along the main fault and distributed ruptures (DR) appearing as secondary surface breaks, typically in the hanging wall and footwall…

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The nucleation and growth of mixed H2O–CO2 bubbles in magmas

Figure 4. The critical pressure required for nucleation of bubbles in mixed H2O–CO2 systems… Sullivan P., E.W. Llewellin, F.B. Wadsworth, S. Colucci, H. Kusumaatmaja (2026).Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, Volume 472. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2026.108538 Abstract Volcanic eruptions are driven by the nucleation and growth of gas bubbles…

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